The very dangerous setup in central Europe will continue to produce thunderstorms today, many of which may become severe. Currently there are still some strong thunderstorms ongoing in western Germany.

The focus of thunderstorms in Germany will be in a diagonal line more to the center today, with the most severe thunderstorms expected to form in the northeast and the southwest. In Germany, large hail with a diameter of 5cm or even greater will be the main risk again, accompanied by storm gusts up to 100km/h and intense rain of over 40 l/m² in an hour or less. There is also an increased chance for tornadoes.

In the southeast of the forecast region, the main risk will be strong rain, but large hail may also be caused by the storms in that region.

Because of the possibility of a very dangerous severe weather situation in central Europe today, M.I.L.K. decided to issue a convective forecast. The main risks in today’s thunderstorms are storm gusts, large hail and, to a lesser extent, tornadoes. Below is the M.I.L.K. Weather convective forecast.

The severe weather situation in central Europe is not over yet, and especially in northern Germany there can still be severe thunderstorms today. The lowest risk of thunderstorms is given in the southwest of the forecast region today.

Over the course of the day, showers and thunderstorms will form and move across the region with the highest warning  level from the southwest towards the northeast. The air there today will be heated quite substantially (up to 31°C) and the humidity is predicted to remain high. Further, the air will be increasingly unstable. Therefore, there is significant potential for thunderstorms and the risk of these to become severe.
Main risks in today’s thunderstorms are flash flooding and hail, possibly with a diameter of up to 4cm in severe thunderstorms. To a lesser extent, storm gusts are possible at the leading edge of larger thunderstorm complexes. The possibility of a tornado in exceptionally well-structured thunderstorms cannot be ruled out completely, either.
Stay inside, close all windows and doors. Secure loose objects on balconies / in gardens. Prepare for possible damages and power outages. Unplug electronic devices. If possible, take measures against flash flooding.

roughly the northwestern third of central Europe might be affected by thunderstorms today. In northwestern Germany these thunderstorms are expected to bring sleet and possible snow, therefore causing dangerous conditions on the roads. Further, large amounts of small hail may fall, and storm gusts are to be expected in the thunderstorms and showers. The risk of tornados is also slightly increased.

ESTOFEX (European Storm Forecast Experiment) has issued a level 2 warning for southwestern France. According to the forecast, the main risks in possible severe thunderstorms are large hail, storm gusts and possibly tornados. Around the level 2 and towards the northwest, including southern France, Switzerland, Austria and southern Germany, a level one was issued. Main risks here are also large hail and storm gusts as well as a slightly increased possibility for tornados. For the same risks, a level 1 was also issued in southeastern Poland. In the northwestern Iberian peninsula, ESTOFEX also issued a level 1, with the main risks being strong rain, storm gusts and large hail.

(c) ESTOFEX

ESTOFEX has issued a level 1 severe thunderstorm warning for eastern Germany. The main risks expected are strong winds and, to a lesser extent, large hail. Below is the ESTOFEX map for today.

(c) ESTOFEX

M.I.L.K. has, again, issued a convective forecast. Thunderstorms are to be expected in Austria south of the main ridge of Alps, in Slovenia, Hungary and locally in Slovakia. Severe thunderstorms are not expected.

ESTOFEX (European Storm Forecast) has issued a new convective forecast for today. According to the forecast, thunderstorms are most likely in the Benelux states and northwestern Germany, in eastern Poland, Slovakia, Hungary and far western Ukraine, as well as in southwest France. Level 1 warnings were issued for eastern Poland, Slovakia, Hungary and far western Ukraine, as well as for southeast England, the Benelux states and western / central Germany and southwest France. The main risk in thunderstorms throughout Europe today are strong straight-line winds and large hail.

ESTOFEX (European Storm Forecast Experiment) has issued a level one convective weather warning for parts of central Europe today. The warning affects northern France, Belgium, Luxembourg and western and central Germany. The main risks in thunderstorms forming in these areas are isolated tornados and strong straight-line winds. The thunderstorm activity is predicted to increase towards the afternoon, and the convective storms will dissipate after sunset due to the lack of energy.

Today’s ESTOFEX forecast. (c) ESTOFEX