Category Archives: Uncategorized

2015.01.05 07:30UTC – Current ESC overview

The only storm system that is currently affecting Europe is the strong storm “BOB”, which is currently located over Iceland. Currently it is affecting Iceland, Ireland, the UK and Greenland with its wind field. Peak gusts of 133km/h have been registered in the UK. At the last MetOffice analysis, the central pressure was 960hPa. The storm is predicted to move to the NE and weaken.

Currently, the strongest region of the storm is the N half.

Click to enlarge

Click to enlarge

 

Below are the warnings and watches issued. For more detailed information, please visit the “Warnings/Watches” page.

Click to enlarge

Click to enlarge

2014.12.26 – Winter storm in Germany tomorrow. Forecast.

Tomorrow a very dangerous “wintery” situation is to be expected in W Germany. This forecast is meant to give a brief overview of the situation expected tomorrow.

MILK has issued warning for Germany. See the map below. Especially in the W and SW the snowfall is expected to be extreme.

Over the day, the low pressure area will move into Germany, causing most intense snow in the morning, however at that time still having mainly rain in it’s precipitation bands. During the day, the intensity of the snow will decrease, however the rain the rain will turn mainly into snow. Here the comparison in the forecast maps:

00UTC map. GFS.


21UTC map. GFS.

The maps above show the type and intensity of the precipitation forecast on a map of central Europe.

The cause for this wild weather is the low pressure area “Hiltrud”, which is currently still located of the British islands.

However, the core of the low will move right over Germany tomorrow.

21UTC forecast map. GFS

The total amounts of snow that will fall are quite significant, as can be seen in this map:

Snowfall within 36 hours from 12UTC today

The German weather service and MeteoGroup have both also already issued warnings regarding the winter storm. See below:

MeteoGroup


DWD

 

More detailed information in MILK TV at www.milk-weather.org and www.milk-stormchasers.de

Storm warning

M.I.L.K. WARNING regarding VIOLENT STORM GUSTS
for: SW Berlin, Potsdam Mittelmark, Potsdam, and surrounding areas
valid from: now
valid until: Saturday, 4am
Issued by M.I.L.K. Skywatch, at: 2014.12.12 0430UTC
————————————————————————————————————————–
IN THE AREA THE WARNING IS ISSUED FOR, VIOLENT STORM GUSTS ARE TO BE EXPECTED WITH PEAK WIND SPEEDS OF UP TO 117KM/H IN EXPOSED AREAS. THE SPEED IS EQUIVILENT TO 11BFT, OR NEAR HURRICANE FORCE.
IT WILL BE HARD TO WALK OUTSIDE. OBJECTS WILL BE BLOWN AROUND. STAY INSIDE WHENEVER POSSIBLE!
KEEP YOURSELF UPDATED.
M.I.L.K. Weather / 10001 Station Berlin Steglitz.
MILK Weather will be setting up a live stream on www.milk-weather.org which will begin at about 10UTC, 11MET.

2014.12.11 – Warning

M.I.L.K. WARNING regarding GALE-FORCED GUSTS
for: SW Berlin, Potsdam Mittelmark, Potsdam, and surrounding areas
valid from: 7am
valid until: Saturday 1am
Issued by M.I.L.K. Skywatch, at: 2014.12.11 0430UTC
————————————————————————————————————————–
NEAR GALE GUSTS ARE FORECAST TO STRIKE TODAY. NOW AND THEN, GUSTS CAN REACH GALE FORCE AS WELL. WITHIN THE TIME THIS WARNING IS ISSUED, UPGRADES TO A HIGHER WARNING LEVEL ARE LIKELY. PLEASE KEEP YOURSELF UPDATED. More information can be found at: www.milk-weather.org or www.milk-stormchasers.de